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plungesponge · 41-45, M
Flu: 291 000 deaths / 1 billion infected = .03% death rate. Hospitals ready to manage this load spread over a year.
Coranavirus: 11906 / 286 000 cases = 4% death rate in 3 months. Hospitals not ready to manage this load because it'll all come in at once, hospital staff have no immunity and not enough protective gear.
Even with the low totals so far today, using a doubling rate of 3 days, it'll reach a billion in about 17 cycles or less than 2 months. If it got to a billion, that 4% would be 40 million dead. Anyone who needed a ventilator to survive (prob another 5 to 10%), would find there's not enough in any country and also die.
Coranavirus: 11906 / 286 000 cases = 4% death rate in 3 months. Hospitals not ready to manage this load because it'll all come in at once, hospital staff have no immunity and not enough protective gear.
Even with the low totals so far today, using a doubling rate of 3 days, it'll reach a billion in about 17 cycles or less than 2 months. If it got to a billion, that 4% would be 40 million dead. Anyone who needed a ventilator to survive (prob another 5 to 10%), would find there's not enough in any country and also die.
dark548 · M
@plungesponge math is important
Mamapolo2016 · F
@plungesponge Not to mention heart attacks and cancers and births and head injuries.
plungesponge · 41-45, M
Yes, the flow on impacts are huge. Everyone needs to do everything to avoid needing hospitalization for the next 3-6 months because it's going to be ugly