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In regards to the coronavirus, how do you predict the next 12 months will turn out?

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If the data I've seen is accurate, the infection rate in China is approaching zero. Meaning the rate of newly infected is the same as the rate of people recovering.

If true, this is good news. I'm not sure why this is happening. Maybe containment efforts are effective and or the virus is running its course. All speculation for now.

South Korea is ahead of the curve with testing. They are finding the mortality rate at 0.6%. Other countries reporting higher mortality rates simply aren't testing as many people. Under sampling skews the results making the virus appear deadlier than it actually is. Consider too, many who test positive are asymptomatic or only show minor symptoms. And why would you want to be tested if you didn't feel sick. Logically, the real mortality rate is likely lower than even what the South Koreans are reporting.

Everyone is doing their part to help contain the spread. Events with large crowds are being cancelled. People are working from home. Schools are cancelling classes. People very hygiene aware, and stepping up efforts to wash/sanitize hand and practice social distancing.

And as much criticism the president receives on this, his early steps to curb to travel between the US and China has likely did more to prevent the advancement of the disease.

Next 12 months...I think the outcome will be much better than initially predicted. This is not going to be an apocalyptic event that kills 10s of millions as some projected.
Masque · 31-35, M
@BizSuitStacy How's the United States doing on treatment and recovery? I'm concerned with how bad it will get (the virus [i]and[/i] the public response) before it gets better.
@Masque Hard to say as the area of the US is very large. I happen to live in a suburb of Seattle about 10 miles from ground zero.
If the US doesn't do a good job on containment, the spread could easily overwhelm the nation's medical infrastructure. We don't have enough test kits, though the supply is better than what it was.
They are building makeshift quarrantine hospitals - essentially tents with medical and security staff 24/7. One is being set up about 2 miles from where I live. It's going to get worse before it gets better. The next 4-6 weeks should tell us a lot.
Masque · 31-35, M
@BizSuitStacy I had to carry a client to the hospital a couple of days ago, and they had a "screening" area set up at the entrance. It consisted of two questions and a squirt of hand sanitizer. That's concerning. The second question was, "Have you been in contact with anyone who may have the coronavirus?" That's a very difficult question to answer. If you respond with "no," make yourself at home!
@Masque unless you have absolutely zero human contact, it's impossible to know that you haven't. Essentially trying to prove a negative.