Update
Only logged in members can reply and interact with the post.
Join SimilarWorlds for FREE »

Ukrainian general predicts end of war by August

The war against Russia will reach a turning point by mid-August and be over by the end of the year, Ukraine’s head of military intelligence has told Sky News.

Major general Kyrylo Budanov said:

"The breaking point will be in the second part of August. Most of the active combat actions will have finished by the end of this year. As a result, we will renew Ukrainian power in all our territories that we have lost including Donbas and the Crimea."

He said Russia was suffering huge losses – although he would not be drawn on Ukrainian casualties – and said he was not surprised by their scale, given Russian power was a “myth”.

"Europe sees Russia as a big threat. They are afraid of its aggression. We have been fighting Russia for eight years and we can say that this highly publicised Russian power is a myth. It is not as powerful as this. It is a horde of people with weapons."

Budanov said Russian forces attacking the north-eastern city of Kharkiv had been pushed back almost to the Russian border and that their much-reported failure to cross the Siverskyi Donets river several days ago had resulted in “heavy losses”.

"I can confirm that they suffered heavy losses in manpower and armour and I can say that when the artillery strikes happened many of the crews abandoned their equipment."

(from today's Guardian)

Many of us who grew up during the Cold War will remember how the U.S. grossly overestimated Soviet power. Our obscene military spending and buildup, which continues to the present day, was based on the mistaken belief that the USSR was our equal in terms of being a global military superpower, when in fact, it was a paper tiger. Russia's invasion of Ukraine is exposing the same mistaken assessment.
helenS · 36-40, F
That's an overly optimistic prediction, in my opinion – because Russia has almost unlimited human resources. They don't have well-trained military personell, just obedient young men who kill until they get killed themselves. When the first 100,000 Russians are dead, they'll send another 100,000. The Russian government won't give a sh*t about their own population. 😕
I can confirm that they suffered heavy losses in manpower
-- so what? They could not care less.
Elessar · 26-30, M
@ineedadrink Russia has a thousand years old history of replacing bad leaders with worse ones.
helenS · 36-40, F
@ineedadrink There is no need to replace Fearless Leader. Everything is going as planned. Really, I mean it.
If 100,000 Ukrainian soldiers are dead, the war will be over. Russian soldiers, on the other hand, are completely expendable. They are just biomass. If another 100,000 Russian soldiers die, they will simply be replaced by the next 100,000, and the next, and the next.
Elessar · 26-30, M
@helenS The second 100k will be far less competent than the first 100k, and the first 100k have already failed miserably. The third even less than the second wave, and the fourth even less than the third. You can't realistically expect to stop a grinder by continuing to throw meat and bones at it, hoping to stall it, while the whole world is actively working at keeping the grinder functioning and oiled.
AthrillatheHunt · 51-55, M
I still predict end of this month. And I invite you to roast me if I’m wrong .
Slade · 56-60, M
@AthrillatheHunt Maybe. But I know they "live for the moment more than us. For obvious reasons. That is appealing
AthrillatheHunt · 51-55, M
@Slade Judaism is a celebration of life but I think that after the holocaust they really adopted a live for the moment mentality .
This comment is hidden. Show Comment
Thinkerbell · 41-45, F
"... when in fact, it [the USSR] was a paper tiger."

Utter nonsense.
I never met anyone from eastern Europe who thought so, and they had reason to know.

It is true that Russian troops were never very adept on battlefields, but in WW2 they were always willing/forced to take 3 to 1 casualties until their opponents were exhausted, as the Finns and Germans found out.

And, as Khrushchev once reminded Mao, "the paper tiger has nuclear teeth."
ChipmunkErnie · 70-79, M
Mistaken perhaps -- but still good enough to murder tens of thousands of Ukrainans. And how many nukes does it take to devastate a nation, even if they are "obsolete" ones? :( The Russians appear to have over-estimated their abilities, but they can still create havoc on a widespread scale. unfortunately. :'(
helenS · 36-40, F
@ChipmunkErnie
The Russians appear to have over-estimated their abilities
I'm afraid they have not. It's their usual way of waging a war. It was the same in 1939 when they attacked Finland, it was the same in Chechnya. It took them >10 years to destroy all sorts of resistance in Chechnya. They don't care at all about their own people. If 100,000 or 500,000 or perhaps 1000,000 Russian soldiers die, so what? They will fight and fight and kill and torture and murder until all resistance is broken – unless the free world does what must be done to stop the horrors.
ChipmunkErnie · 70-79, M
@helenS That's reality, not what Putin evidently assumed re the speed of a Russian advance.
One must be leery of a Secretary of Defense or boastful military higher ups who tell us how soon the wars will end or the “ troops will be back home by….”
chrisCA · M
Much of it, I believe, comes down to the soldier in uniform.
justanothername · 51-55, M
@chrisCA and military logistics which Russia lacks.
@justanothername Inability to supply troops just 8 miles from your border doesn't seem superpowerish or even competent in the *basics*...
justanothername · 51-55, M
Interesting reading.
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
He really is turning Russia back into the Soviet Union, lol.
helenS · 36-40, F
@LordShadowfire ... or rather the Czarist empire. In fact Putin criticised Lenin because under Lenin Ukraine became an independent country, a Soviet Republic.
LordShadowfire · 46-50, M
@helenS Where's Rasputin when you need him?

 
Post Comment