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Brent Molnar: A Voice of Reason

Brent Molnar: A Voice of Reason

🌍🔥 The Suicide Pact: What Happens the Moment We Touch Greenland…
If the United States follows through on the threat to invade Greenland, we need to be crystal clear about what happens the next morning. This is not a real estate transaction or a routine military exercise. It is the geopolitical equivalent of pulling the pin on a grenade in a crowded elevator. The moment American boots hit the ground in Nuuk to seize territory from a fellow NATO member, the world as we know it ends. The consequences will not be temporary sanctions or angry letters. They will be total, permanent, and devastating.
The first domino to fall is the North Atlantic Treaty Organization itself. NATO is built on the sacred promise of Article 5, that an attack on one is an attack on all. If the U.S. attacks Denmark, we are not just breaking the treaty; we are triggering it against ourselves. NATO dissolves instantly. The alliance that kept the peace in Europe for 75 years evaporates, leaving the continent to rearm and realign against the new aggressor across the Atlantic. We don't just lose an ally; we create a unified enemy.
The military repercussions will be swift and humiliating. Europe will immediately demand the closure of every U.S. military base on the continent. Ramstein in Germany, Aviano in Italy, Lakenheath in the UK, all gone. Our ability to project power into the Middle East and Africa vanishes overnight. We will be evicted from the very soil we helped liberate and defended for decades, forced to retreat to our own shores as a fortress nation, isolated and friendless.
Then comes the economic nuclear option. The European Union is the largest single market in the world, and they will weaponize it. Europe will likely move to call in U.S. debt and dump their dollar reserves, sending the value of our currency into a death spiral. The U.S. economy, which relies on the dollar being the global reserve currency, will collapse. Inflation will make the post-COVID spikes look like a rounding error. Your savings will be worthless before the ink dries on the invasion orders.
Corporate America will face an extinction event. U.S. companies will be expelled from the European market. Apple, Google, McDonald's, and Tesla will see their assets seized or their operations banned. Trillions of dollars in market capitalization will be incinerated in minutes. The stock market will not just crash; it will close. We are talking about the complete de-globalization of American industry, cutting us off from the wealthiest consumers on the planet.
The skies will go silent. European aviation authorities will almost certainly ground all Boeing jets and ban U.S. airlines from their airspace. Transatlantic travel will cease. If you are in Paris or Berlin, you are stuck there. The logistical arteries that feed our supply chains will be severed. We will be cut off from European medicine, machinery, and technology. We will be an island nation in the worst possible sense.
The cultural isolation will be just as stinging. The International Olympic Committee and FIFA will have no choice but to bar the United States from competition, just as they did with Russia. There will be no World Cup matches in New Jersey. There will be no Team USA in the Olympics. We will be treated as a pariah state, unwelcome on the global stage, forced to watch the world celebrate without us.
For individual Americans, the consequences will be personal and painful. Visa-free travel to Europe will end immediately. Americans currently living or working in Europe will lose their legal protections and residency status. They will become persona non grata, potentially facing deportation or internment. The "blue passport" that used to open every door will suddenly be a red flag at every border crossing.
This is the end of trust, and it does not reset. You cannot invade a democratic ally and then say "my bad" four years later. The psychological break will be permanent. Europe will realize that the United States is no longer a partner but a predator. They will build their own defense architecture, their own financial systems, and their own alliances that specifically exclude us. The West will continue, but the United States will no longer be part of it.
Invading Greenland is not a show of strength; it is an act of national suicide. We are trading our reputation, our economy, and our security for a frozen island and a handful of minerals we can't even process. The price of this real estate deal is everything we built over the last century. If we cross this line, there is no going back. We will be the lonely superpower, ruling over nothing but our own decline.
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ArishMell · 70-79, M
Yet it need not come to anything like that.

President Trump seems genuinely not to understand anything outside the USA, and his demand that his country needs Greenland for America's military security is not logical.

(Notably, Trump says America's, not Greenland's security, and he ignores the Greenlanders and Danes.)

The USAAF has a base on Greenland, and apparently had more during the Cold War.

The North-Eastern US States are a long way from Greenland. Any sea-borne attack on America from the direction of Arctic Ocean, as Trump apparently fears, would not need touch Greenland. Its most likely form would be as submarines carrying cruise missiles and torpedoes.

In the NW, Alaska is only seventy miles from the tip of Siberia although the geography on both continents makes invasion from there not really credible. Besides, the invaders would have to fight across Alaska then Canada to reach the main USA.

Direct attacks on USA are far more likely to be by ballistic missile. Installing radar to detect them, and sonar arrays on the sea-bed to listen for submarines, on Greenland may give some protection without needing annexing the territory. It would need only normal NATO protocol.

Nor are rockets the only modern weapon. Internet interference, subversion and attacks on US interests overseas are all potentially much more damaging, far easier to mount and far harder to defend from.

......

We should bear in mind that invasion is not the Trump government's only self-assumed option. Trump wants Greenland and if he can gain it without fighting, that would likely be his preference. He does not like war, and its risk of American casualties. He could try politico/economic pressure and trickery, propaganda and subversion, for example.

So if the USA already has some military presence on a NATO ally, and if annexation by any means would bring little strategic advantage but destroy the already weakened international credibility and trust in the USA; what [i]does[/]i he want?

There may be useful deposits of minerals there; and I think that the more credible motive.

Even that is not reason for an illegal land-grab though; but Mr. Trump's thinking (or more likely that of his advisors) may be a bit deeper: the complexities of international trade and law.

It is for the Greenlanders to establish mines there, to control the industry, for their country's benefit. Free, fair and open competition for mining rights would not necessarily bar US bids but may mean Europeans or Australians winning.

Further, all negotiations, and the work itself, would be on the Greenlanders' and Danes', not Americans' terms. I would think that as Greenland is a semi-autonomous province of EU-member Denmark, it would include modern regulations based on Greenland / Danish laws and taxes; and logically any legal disputes being settled by Greenland / Danish judicial process, possibly in Copenhagen. Not US laws and courts.

Any such laws would be the Danish and local implementations of national and EU requirements, many of the latter according to truly international agreements and trade-standards. They would cover:

- local planning regulations (protection of residents and their homes, amenities and general quality of life; general landscape and wildlife consideration, any special environmental protection for particularly sensitive areas),

- employees' protection (pay, pensions and leave; health and safety; dispute settlement; employment, redundancy and dismissal; union-membership rights),

- environmental protection (controls on excavations, mining-spoil tips, ground-water protection, processing-waste management, emissions, sewerage and general refuse-disposal).

Those laws would apply equally to locals, Danes and any foreigners.

They are probably less stringent in the USA, big American corporations are notorious for poor employment conditions and environmental care even in their overseas sites, and Mr. Trump expresses disdain for the enviroment. These alone might raise local opposition to US-owned mining and other developments.


......

In summary, Mr. Trump's claim to "need" Greenland is logically more economic than military, to ensure any minerals exploitation is solely by US companies working under lax US regulations for the USA; with no particular regard for the locals, their economy and their land.

Simply, imperialism.
Khenpal1 · M
@ArishMell Alright, let’s tear this one apart properly, because this “rare earths” excuse is one of the dumbest justifications ever vomited out of a presidential mouth.
Trump is now saying Greenland is suddenly vital because of rare earth minerals. Rare earths. Like he just discovered them last Tuesday while flicking through a TV guide at Mar-a-Lardo. And his crowd with the collective brains of driveway gravel goes, “Ohhh, okay, that makes sense.” No it doesn’t. It only makes sense if you have the economic literacy of a tree stump.
Here’s the part this knuckle-dragging Neanderthal from the 1800s cannot process inside that underdeveloped frontal lobe.
Everyone has rare earths.
Australia has them.
America has them.
Africa has them.
Canada has them.
Greenland has them.
Your neighbour probably has some under his bloody lawn.
Rare earths are not unicorn dust. They are not magical rocks hidden only under frozen Viking soil.
The problem is not digging the shit out of the ground. The problem is processing it.
And this is where China ate everyone’s lunch while America was busy outsourcing everything and calling it efficiency.
China didn’t win rare earths because they “have more”. They won because decades ago they said, “Hey, maybe the hard part isn’t mining, maybe it’s refining, separation, processing, supply chains, environmental handling, scale, and expertise.” They invested. They built processing capacity. They trained engineers. They swallowed the ugly, expensive, unsexy part of the job.
Meanwhile America went, “Nah, we’ll just buy it later.”
So now Trump’s big brain solution is not to build processing capability, not to invest in refining, not to develop skills, not to plan twenty years ahead like an adult civilization. No. His solution is to take someone else’s land.
That’s like saying, “I’m bad with money, so instead of learning how to budget, I’m just going to steal someone else’s wallet.” Same problem, bigger crime.
You could take Greenland.
You could take Mexico.
You could take Australia.
You could dig up your neighbour’s backyard until it looks like the moon.
And you’d still be screwed.
Because if you don’t know how to process rare earths, you’re just a bloke standing on a pile of rocks yelling “NOW WHAT?”
It’s like owning all the gold in the world but not knowing how to refine it, sell it, insure it, transport it, or turn it into anything useful. Congratulations, you’re rich in theory and useless in reality.
This is why the rest of the world is looking at America like it’s run by a guy who thinks resource security means possession instead of capability. This is empire thinking from a man stuck mentally in the age of steam trains and cannonball sailing ships.
And the truly dangerous part is this logic doesn’t stop.
If rare earths justify Greenland, why not Canada?
If supply chains justify Greenland, why not Australia?
If “national security” justifies this, why not anywhere?
This is how you slide from economics into conquest while pretending it’s strategy.
And MAGA, here’s the bit you should be choking on. This isn’t strength. This is failure being dressed up as dominance. This is a guy who cannot compete in the modern world trying to rewind history to a time when you could just grab land and call it smart.
The rest of us moved on.
China moved on.
Europe moved on.
The global economy moved on.
Trump didn’t.
So no, this isn’t about rare earths. It’s about a lack of foresight, a lack of competence, and a total inability to understand that in the 21st century, brains beat borders.
You don’t win by taking territory anymore.
You win by building systems.
And this guy hasn’t built a damn thing except chaos.
That’s the truth. That's also why a single vote should never have been wasted on a guy with the IQ of room temperature. A guy who bankrupted the unbankruptable. God damn casinos for Christ's sake!
Are we there yet MAGA? Sadly... Probably not for a while.
ArishMell · 70-79, M
@Khenpal1 Blimey, that was a bit of a rant!

I largely agree with you.

I do understand what makes "rare earths", "rare": though abundant they have few economic concentrations.

Although Donald Trump has shown himself internationally remarkably ignorant, and as undiplomatic as a gnu, I think he is also devious.

His main excuse for demand Greenland has been military defence of the USA. I was never convinced by that claim, as I examined above. I suspected all along he believes Greenland a veritable treasure-chest of valuable ores that should be America's, and America's alone.

Whether Greenland really is economically rich in minerals remains to be seen, but Trump still has no right to take it over.


However, I think Trump might unwittingly have helped alert the world to what China has been doing for a long time - buying Western companies and IP, undercutting mass-produced goods costs, encouraging Western firms to contract manufacturing to Chinese firms, taking most of the world's mineral deposits and rights.

Actually, the USA had been playing a similar game for a large part of the 20C, by buying other nations' companies, sometimes simply to take their IP or to destroy the competition and close them down. So it cannot complain too loudly when Japan, China or India do that to America.



The People's Republic of China has two big advantages over Europe and the USA, and is exploiting them to the full.

Firstly, no elections (except nominally) every few years, but a ruthless, single-party system designed for permanence; its Presidents are theoretically for life but still caretakers rather than personal rulers, and for the time being. This allows planning for decades ahead; while democracies can go through large ideology and policy shifts twice within any decade. Though I know which I'd rather live in....

Secondly, unlike those of most Western countries, many of its senior politicians are Engineers. They understand how to help their country develop not hydroelectric plant and long-distance, high-speed railways; but also technical strategy including cornering the world's engineering materials and intellectual-property. Those Politburo men are not the scheme designers of course, but very knowledgable "customers" who understand the requirements, designs, materials, etc..


In his 2015 election campaining, Presidential Candidate Trump "promised" to restore the USA's dying "Rust Belt" industries. He seemed not to understand why they are dying, nor why no-one can revive most of them to their former glory, however good that might be for America.

This time round he seems to believe US expansionism might help restore them back. It won't.

The answer, of course, is to encourage modern manufacturing and service that will work, but they are likely to need far fewer employees for comparable levels of trade.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
@ArishMell @Khenpal1 Not to interrupt this... But has anyone noticed that NOTHING has been produced from the Epstein files this year?? There is also another case pending brought by the Maxwell woman on her own behalf, which requires checking of 148 records out of hundreds of thousands. And the justice dept has not managed to get that done either. How do you spell "distraction"?😷
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
This summary is, if anything optimistic. Russia will likely seize the opportunity to attempt expansion in Europe. And since it has no economy to speak of, the military option is likely.. And the desperate death throes of America will likely lead to unintended consequences there. While NATO will cease to function, it will likely move on without America, coordinated within Europe..
But maybe worst of all, all those middle eastern and African regions with regional conflicts and famine will almost certainly be left without relief of any kind as US aid stops and every other nation turns its face inward to their own local problems. Millions will die of starvation and disease..😷
Khenpal1 · M
@whowasthatmaskedman Russia is a gas station for max 10 years , much of its infrastructure is 50-60 years old.
whowasthatmaskedman · 70-79, M
@Khenpal1 Putin is only planning for his life span😷
G7J2O · M
Agreed. I don't honestly think it will happen.

 
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