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WELCOME TO THE ZONE how many jobs will be lost

just the switch from having a person transfer a call at a switchboard to a automatic system.. think on this

all intercity calls required human operators to manually patch connections on switchboards before 1951

1951: The Direct Distance Dialing public trial launched in Englewood, New Jersey.1960s–1970s: Automatic routing expanded across North America and eventually reached international dialing (IDDD) by March 1970

The transition of the telephone network from manual switchboards to automatic routing, Direct Distance Dialing (DDD), and eventually international direct dialing eliminated hundreds of thousands of operator jobs over several decades.

AND NOW AI .. how many jobs will fade away

[media=https://youtu.be/3pN-iufCdi8]
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Alyosha · 36-40, M
All of them, given time.
DogMan · 61-69, M
There are currently hundreds of thousands of unfilled skilled trades jobs in the U.S., with projections showing persistent demand through 2030.
Current Openings
As of recent reports, the U.S. skilled trades sector faces significant labor shortages. Approximately 546,000 construction jobs went unfilled in 2023, and the industry is expected to generate 733,000 annual openings from 2022 to 2032 due to retirements, growth, and turnover
gitnux.org
gitnux.org
. Across all essential trades, including construction, transportation, installation, maintenance, and repair, there are 5.6 million direct jobs and 11.1 million jobs overall in the U.S., with a projected 1.4 million direct trades jobs expected to be vacant by 2030 if current trends continue
ArishMell · 70-79, M
@DogMan Are the reasons for the shortages known and being addressed?
DogMan · 61-69, M
@ArishMell Here are two reasons

Why Fewer People Are Entering Trade Work
Fewer young people are choosing skilled trades despite strong demand and high pay because of a mix of cultural, educational, and perception-based factors.

1. Cultural pressure toward college
For decades, the dominant message—especially from parents and older generations—has been that a four-year college degree is the only path to success. This has led many to view trade careers as “less prestigious” or as a fallback if they can’t succeed in academia

. Even as college costs rise and job prospects soften, the “college = success” narrative persists, discouraging many from considering trades.

2. Stigma and outdated perceptions
Trade work is often stereotyped as dirty, physically demanding, or “old-fashioned,” which can deter younger generations. Many young people see tech or white-collar careers as more innovative and modern, even though trades are increasingly integrating advanced technology and sustainability practices
FreddieUK · 70-79, M
Car mechanics will soon be in the same position as the computers increasingly run cars and only ‘authorised’ people will be allowed in to work on them.
ArishMell · 70-79, M
@DogMan That's likely a brand name and might not be sold in the UK, but although changing the belt should be easy, the difficulty on many cars now, with transverse engines, is the sheer inaccessibility of components!
DogMan · 61-69, M
@ArishMell They call them Serpentine belts because of the way they snake through the motor.


A serpentine belt is a single, continuous belt used in automotive engines to drive multiple peripheral devices, such as the alternator, power steering pump, and air conditioning compressor.
ArishMell · 70-79, M
@DogMan Yes, I know the applications and the tortuous paths they need make. Your use of capital-'S' made me think a brand-name.

My Renault's coolant pump is directly driven by the crankshaft but the other auxiliaries are belt driven. The pump seal failed several months ago and that was definitely a garage repair, as everything is so cramped in there. Further, I have no parking space on my own land and the street is not the best place for anything more than the most minor repairs.
DogMan · 61-69, M
I have heard that the College degree jobs will be the first ones lost to AI. This is why I believe
trade jobs will be the future for people that want to work hard and make a lot of money.

Unfortunately the majority of college educated kids will be too important to get into a trade job.
ArishMell · 70-79, M
@DogMan It will depend very much on the degree.

A degree in something like sociology or sports-scentre management, maybe, but AI cannot develop new knowledge, only regurgitate existing knowledge - and that without acknowledging its sources.

We will still need the creators, the originators, the researchers, the surgeons, the musicians....
gregloa · 61-69, M
We will be assimilated. 🤣 Resistance is futile. 😂
jehova · 36-40, M
2/3rds of jobs will be taken by "automated syatems"
jehova · 36-40, M
@DogMan i can walk i dont drive. Its so much chea]er and less stressful not driving. Wow!
DogMan · 61-69, M
@jehova Walking is great, That is one of my hobbies. It's good for the body and mind.
DogMan · 61-69, M
@jehova Are you into the Oculus VR? My wife got it to do exercise, I use it just to experience
crazy stuff. From Wild life and scuba diving to race cars and roller coasters.
Although the roller coasters gave me a headache,
I had to go lay down for a while after that 🫨

 
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