Only logged in members can reply and interact with the post.
Join SimilarWorlds for FREE »

What do you make of this?

The major flaw in this reasoning is that's an annual figure for flu. It's - what 2,3 weeks into covid-19 here in the US.

Without any major intervention like nationwide or global lockdown - the virus keeps doubling its count or more. Each victim infects 2 or 3 or 20...' look at Italy's numbers. France. Spain. The UK.

Because it's new and there's no immunity,
it will continue doubling every few, 5,6 days, to be optimistic. That means the current count which in one day grew to 26,888 will be 53,000 in a few days, then 106,000 then 212,000...and so on.
fanuc2013 · 51-55, F
@Mamapolo2016 I just hope they find a solution soon! We personally are doing okay, but I feel sorry for all the people that have lost a loved one, or who are out of work! Just when it looked like everything was going pretty well.
@fanuc2013 Amen to a solution. I do not think the world is ending - but it's going to be a challenging ride. Right now the wheels are falling off the car and it's not important as we're rolling over in the field who was careless with the lug wrench. Later, perhaps, but not now.
fanuc2013 · 51-55, F
@Mamapolo2016 Absolutely! I just hate to see the situation being politicized by people trying to get votes! I think it's going to backfire on them!
plungesponge · 41-45, M
Flu: 291 000 deaths / 1 billion infected = .03% death rate. Hospitals ready to manage this load spread over a year.

Coranavirus: 11906 / 286 000 cases = 4% death rate in 3 months. Hospitals not ready to manage this load because it'll all come in at once, hospital staff have no immunity and not enough protective gear.

Even with the low totals so far today, using a doubling rate of 3 days, it'll reach a billion in about 17 cycles or less than 2 months. If it got to a billion, that 4% would be 40 million dead. Anyone who needed a ventilator to survive (prob another 5 to 10%), would find there's not enough in any country and also die.
dark548 · M
@plungesponge math is important
@plungesponge Not to mention heart attacks and cancers and births and head injuries.
plungesponge · 41-45, M
Yes, the flow on impacts are huge. Everyone needs to do everything to avoid needing hospitalization for the next 3-6 months because it's going to be ugly
nowic2 · 61-69, M
@dark548 arguing about the severity of & comparing against flu is avoiding the issue. An under reaction. We need to be responding aggressively. We don't have time to be making minor adjustments to decide upon an optimal response. It's much better to throw more at it than is needed & quickly that sit back then react later. Anything else is short sighted.
Feel free to differ but don't waste your time telling me otherwise.
nowic2 · 61-69, M
If anyone thinks all the arguments against the precautions are an over reaction. They need to open their eyes & get in touch with reality. And this has nothing to do with politics in the US or any other country.
dark548 · M
@nowic2 we don't want to overreact nor undereact do we. We want to find an optimum response somewhere in the middle no?
fanuc2013 · 51-55, F
I'm not saying this isn't serious, but doesn't it seem like this is being sensationalized, by the liberals and their media pals to try to make the president look bad so they can win in November?
SW-User
It's controlled biological warfare against the enemies of the 'deep state'

 
Post Comment