Are the liberals going to keep crying for the entire 4 years of Trump's administration?
#notmypresident! #resist #stillwithher!
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That worked cause they tapped into depth of the red base ... which is across those 30 states and 2,800 counties
Blue doesn't have a way to widen the states ... the 26 year trend shrinking the blue counties, is not likely to reverse ... crying about urban issues just feeds the red counties.
So, blue needs to intensify the urban vote, but when you are at 90% share and above 90% participation ... there is not much left to get.
So, in this cycle, complaining has negative blue results.
But complaining raises funds ... so, they will continue
Blue doesn't have a way to widen the states ... the 26 year trend shrinking the blue counties, is not likely to reverse ... crying about urban issues just feeds the red counties.
So, blue needs to intensify the urban vote, but when you are at 90% share and above 90% participation ... there is not much left to get.
So, in this cycle, complaining has negative blue results.
But complaining raises funds ... so, they will continue
Xuan12 · 36-40, M
It's not as simple as that. Look at Texas. It went red, yeah, but is it secure that way? The electoral panel is elected by popular vote. Trump won by about 800K votes in 2016. But in 2015 alone, Texas's metropolitan areas added 412,000 people, of the state's total growth of 490,000. And those metropolitan areas are deep blue. Combined with growing minority demographics in the state, which tend to favor the democratic party as well, make it a very viable question how the state will vote in the next election. The state will probably add over a million people by then, and at this rate most of that growth will be urban and minority. The way things stand, the GOP will have to build significant inroads into these groups or run the risk of Texas becoming a swing state.
If Texas does go blue, combined with the existing urban population cores of NY and CA, that also have significant democratic advantages, it would be exceptionally difficult for the GOP to prevail, as those three states alone would account for 122 electoral votes, if they are not adjusted upward due to their growth. And given the urban zones all across the US are growing more rapidly than non-urban zones, it's likely that more and more electoral power will accrue into such states.
The GOP, for it's part, is aware of this, and already has some strategists working on long-term concepts for this trend. Some ideas include electoral reforms at either the federal or state level, and party platform and outreach changes to try to chip into the democratic advantage in these places. Whether these strategies are ready or enacted by 2020 though is a different question, and the course of Trump's term could have a significant impact as well.
If Texas does go blue, combined with the existing urban population cores of NY and CA, that also have significant democratic advantages, it would be exceptionally difficult for the GOP to prevail, as those three states alone would account for 122 electoral votes, if they are not adjusted upward due to their growth. And given the urban zones all across the US are growing more rapidly than non-urban zones, it's likely that more and more electoral power will accrue into such states.
The GOP, for it's part, is aware of this, and already has some strategists working on long-term concepts for this trend. Some ideas include electoral reforms at either the federal or state level, and party platform and outreach changes to try to chip into the democratic advantage in these places. Whether these strategies are ready or enacted by 2020 though is a different question, and the course of Trump's term could have a significant impact as well.