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Crisis! Too many homes for sale. Last year’s crisis: not enough homes for sale.



Photo above - that cute little house used in "The Truman Show" is a real 2,100 foot home in Florida. It's listed at $2,417,700 - over $1,200 per square foot. It previously sold for $60 a square foot a couple of decades ago. A 2,000 percent profit?

Evidently Fed Chairman Powell’s rate hikes are finally having an effect. According to the link below, there are 500,000 more homes for sale than there are buyers. And it’s a crisis . . . but only if you expected to win the lottery when selling your 30-year-old “nothing special” home. No, boomers, updating your bathroom and kitchen with new fixtures doesn’t make it special.

Don’t ask me how Redfin – the company which the Moneywise reporter relied on exclusively for her content – came up with these numbers. 1.9 million homes for sale – okay, that could be right. But only if you pretend there aren’t thousands of homes for sale on secret lists, for private showings, with no front yard signs. But how did Redfin come up with their 1.5 million buyers number? If you want more buyers, reduce your price. Redfin predicts prices may drop 1% this year. Maybe.

Despite all the gloom and doom, Redfin reporter Veronika Vevonski (a real person, not AI) urges readers not to delay a moment longer. List your house immediately. Even if the housing market is already flooded. And lower your price expectations.

All this prattle might be helpful if the Fed cuts rates later this year, as people have been predicting. Predicting for a year at least. Will 50 points (1/2 of 1%) cause hundreds of thousands new buyers to appear? It might, but big banks’ mortgage departments have been laying off workers for some time now, so don’t expect your application to receive white glove treatment. In fact, if the Fed cuts rates 50 basis points, is there any reason banks would match this with lower mortgage rates? New applicants will probably have worse FICO scores and smaller down payments. Evictions and foreclosures are already ticking up, but they are nowhere near the astronomical level of 2.23% in 2010. That's when zero-down liar-loans with punitive adjustable rates were hawked to us as the golden ticket.

Hey - turns out they were right. If you survived the foreclosure tsunami, you maybe did strike it rich. Congrats!

It was refreshing in this article to see the ONE example of a price reduction which a seller was forced to accept. Originally listed for $3.5 million in 2021, that California home finally sold last month for $1.99 million. No details about square footage, nearby earthquake fault lines, brush fire adjacency, or property tax and insurance rate hikes. Getting rid of this house may have been a dream come true for the original owners.

Here in Florida, I continue to research my options to become a borrower and leave the ranks of peasants and tenants behind. But once I began clicking on home listings for sale, I got spammed with places that have been on the market for months, or years. There were 2 in my email this morning: A 1,700-foot home for $129,000. Previously occupied by tenants. The inside looks like an abortive renovation, and it needs EVERYTHING. My other option was an 800 foot pristine condo, at $250,000. I don’t need any more listings like these, Redfin. They’re your problem, not mine.

I’m just sayin’ . . .

US housing market now has 500K more sellers than buyers — and it’s leading to a shift in the balance of power

[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.realtor.com/realestateandhomes-detail/31-Natchez-St_Santa-Rosa-Beach_FL_32459_M65607-24213?
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Ya here in FL houses in my neighborhood have been sitting trying to get sold for months! A couple years ago they wouldn’t be on the market for a couple days without a good offer.
@SusanInFlorida lol you’ll never get rid of retirees here in Florida. The land of eternal summer, I think this is looking pretty bad for the housing market though. My guess is this is dip.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@Notmesam it's true that they don't like cold weather. but there are LOTS of things retirees don't like:

1 - high school taxes when they don't have kids in school any more

2 - noisy muscle cars gunning their engines at fast food places at midnight

3 - fentanyl in the streets

4 - tidal surge
@SusanInFlorida You have all of that in NC as well. This dip will dip, then it’ll come back in a few years like always. This is probably the time to buy if you have the money. We will never see those 90s/2000s prices ever again.
My neighbor started her house at $360K and sold it for $250K. The new owner told me he regrets buying it at that price.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@LeopoldBloom everyone thinks they paid too much, unless the Zillow zestimates shows the value rising 30 seconds after you move in.

were there repair issues or undisclosed faults?
exchrist · 36-40
House prices like that, despite chance of destruction by weather (hurricane)?
This is an example of the impending housing bubble ive been predicting since 2012. Inflated prices same level of demand. Plus fewer resources on the buyer side. Prepare for it all to plummet (into the ocean). Also borrowing rates are way up?
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@exchrist we are kindred souls. since 2012 I have been predicting

1 - a stock market crash
2 - hyper inflation of the US dollar
3 - gold hitting $10,000 an ounce
4 - a nuclear weapon detonated in space, to disable another nation's satellites
5 - the "next gen" of solid state EV batteries, which don't spontaneously catch on fire when they're being recharged, or when the smell salt water
6 - the return of the $5 Subway foot-long
Zonuss · 46-50, M
Too many houses not being sold. Many of them are in the red. This is only the beginning.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@Zonuss some sellers will wait for an eviction notice before reducing the listing price. or possibly just walk away from the place, if they have negative equity due to falling prices.
basilfawlty89 · 36-40, M
Cool.
Why tf do you still use imperial?
@basilfawlty89 Right. It must be a holdover from the Middle Ages, like drams and pennyweights which I believe are still used in the pharmaceutical industry. Bushels and pecks and such.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@basilfawlty89 i went to the doctors yesterday. the para-professional estimated my weight before I got on the scale - in pounds. the scale displayed my weight in kilograms. She was unable to make the conversion in her head, and unable to find the button on the scale to display pounds.

true story.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@LeopoldBloom how many pebbles in a stone? is it like metric? Does 100 pebbles equal one stone?

 
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