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Did I sell my gold mining stocks too soon?



Photo above - environmentally responsible gold mining in Quebec Province, Canada. People want gold because they are afraid of . . . everything. Photo courtesy of Canadian Martic Gold Mines, LLC, a subsidiary of Agnico Eagle mines.

“Trees don’t grow to the sky” is a famous stock market aphorism. So is “Cut your losses short and let your profits grow.” Those two strategies seem distinctly at odds. But earlier this year I took a look my gold mining shares (some Canadian company) and decided the nearly 100% rise was enough. Don’t get greedy. Besides I’m NOT a gold bug, and the entire US government was telling me in daily announcements that inflation was “licked”, and interest rates would start coming down any day now.

Well, interest rates DID come down last month. And funny thing: both home mortgage rates and gold prices went HIGHER, not lower. This seems at odds with 5 decades of Nobel prize winning economic theory, inspired by originalists like Adam Smith and David Ricardo. See link below regarding gold’s continuing rise.

Of course, Adam Smtih, David Ricardo, and John Maynard Keynes never imagined the USA would have a national debt of $35 trillion. In fact, none of the recent Nobel prize winners in Economics has much to say about how to tame the $350,000 in government debt owed by every family.

I have a couple of theories about why gold is still heading to the moon.

1. Inflation really isn’t licked, and everyone knows it. Everyone who’s been trying to buy a house, a car, or just go to a restaurant (see yesterday’s column)

2. The $35 trillion in national debt IS a huge effing problem. We can NEVER pay it back, and it will only be “resolved” through more extreme inflation.

3. Kamala Harris is further ahead in the polls than the media is letting on, and she has promised to double down on America’s debt disaster. (The reason the media isn’t giving Kamala props for her lead is that they don’t want a repeat of 2016, where lots of democrats got complacent and stayed home: student loan debtors, stoners, women wanting abortions, electric car fanboys)

Where do I stand? I don’t believe either Trump or Kamala has any deep thoughts about - or plans to fix - our debt addiction. This is a choice between two evils. Picking the lesser one still means outrageous pain and suffering for most of us.

Readers, please respond. Is gold going even higher? Tell us why or why not? Bitcoin fans are allowed to play too, although they should identify themselves and stop claiming that Bitcoin is the “solution” to gold and the US dollar. One look at the charts proves it isn't.

I’m NOT buying back my gold shares now, although I feel I’ve made a strategic mistake selling them earlier this year.

I’m just sayin’ . . .

Gold’s stratospheric rise signals disaster ahead for the world’s financial order
Avectoijesuismoi · 31-35
Gold is always the go to when there is any level of uncertainty in markets or the world you will very rarely make a loss with gold.
Gobaly there are currently a great many factors all over the world that are causing uncertainties.
Anyone who thinks that inflation is anywhere near licked as you put it is in for a bit of a shock it is being candy coated to disguise it
Next time you get the chance ask one of those canvassing politicians just how much it actually is going to cost to pay back that 35 trillion at a rough guess you are looking at paying back about 3.25 times that over the length of the loans.
SusanInFlorida · 31-35, F
@Avectoijesuismoi when is there NOT uncertainty in the markets. I'm speaking of situations like:

- a 52 week low
- a 10+ year bull market
- russia invading Ukraine
- terrorists launching missiles at tankers in the gulf
- the fed tripling interest rates
- two bad presidential candidates, and we will definitely be stuck with one of them
Avectoijesuismoi · 31-35
@SusanInFlorida you missed what is going on in the middle east between Israel, hamas and whoever else Israel decides to bomb, that is going to have a far greater effect than Russian and Ukrainian one
I understand what you are saying
There is in all countries factors that influence markets, but compound it to the factor that markets are very interelated as are countries
Using sanctions, black or grey listing against a country has consequences for the countries or country using those mechanisms
one of the by products of sanctions is almost certainly inflation in your own country

 
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