What's Going on in Oklahoma? And Is It Another Sign of Doom for Donald Trump?

In 1996 Bob Dole defeated Bill Clinton, 48%-40% (with H. Ross Perot receiving 11%)

In 2000 George W. Bush defeated Al Gore, 60%-38%.

In 2004 George W. Bush defeated John Kerry, 66%-34%.

In 2008 John McCain defeated Barack Obama, 66%-34%.

In 2012 Mitt Romney defeated Barack Obama, 66%-33%.

In 2016 Donald Trump defeated Hillary Clinton, 65%-29%.

In 2020 Donald Trump defeated Joe Biden, 65%-32%.

But a SoonerPoll conducted in the last week of August has Vice President Harris cutting Trump's margin in 2020 in half: 56%-40%.

The last time a Democratic presidential candidate got 40% of the Oklahoma vote was Bill Clinton's popular and Electoral College landslide in 1996.

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SW-User

Well, it certainly won't deliver Oklahoma to Harris 😂

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@SW-User

But the point is, if Trump is doing worse in a state like Oklahoma, it bodes well for Harris in states she can and must win.

SW-User

@beckyromero Not necessarily. Shipping votes to Harris in otherwise deep-red states will only boost her popular vote. She could be within a hairs breadth of winning Oklahoma, Missouri, and Arkansas on election day, and still lose by losing Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. A huge popular vote didn't help Hillary.

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@SW-User

True. But think of it this way. If Trump is losing votes in a solid red state, shouldn't he be losing votes in more moderate states?

SW-User

@beckyromero I'd like to think so. And I still think Harris will win comfortably.

daydeeo · 61-69, M

@beckyromero Wishful thinking.

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@daydeeo

Ohio down to six points in a recent poll.

Trump is bleeding MAGA supporters all over the country and is pouring his funds into pretty much just the swing states.

SW-User

@beckyromero But six points is huge. Trump will win Ohio. This all means nothing if Harris doesn't retain Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

beckyromero · 36-40, F

@SW-User

Not saying Trump will lose Ohio. But the smaller the lead for Trump in Ohio, the better it bodes for Harris in MI and PA.

SW-User

@beckyromero I hope so