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There's a Lot of Blue in These Latest Polls.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls

But just who are the people that say they are voting for Democrat Senate candidates in Arizona, Michigan, Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin but not voting for Vice President Harris?

I believe they are the formerly "shy" Trump voters.

Just as the Trumpets make their keyboard presence on SW without filters, Trumpets are no longer (and haven't been for several years now) "shy" about voicing their support for Trump.

If that is the case, then the polls are more accurate in the past.

And given the Democrats' enthusiasm about the race, that could also translate into a higher turnout that expected - something that is not taken into account in the polling data.
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There are still people who will vote a split ticket. If there weren't, Joe Manchin wouldn't have had a career in politics. I'm not sure about those other states, but in Arizona, Kari Lake is a truly awful candidate, on the level of Herschel Walker, so I'm not surprised she's tanking.

JD Vance significantly underperformed Trump in Ohio, meaning there were people who voted for Trump and Tim Ryan.
beckyromero · 36-40, F
@LeopoldBloom

Kari Lake / Donald Trump event in Arizona this week

@beckyromero Well, that is one impressive crowd.