Beware: Don't Compare the 2016 & 2020 Polls in Late July to Those Now.
In 2016, Hillary already had her "bumps" for the VP rollout and the convention.
Kamala Harris is expected to name her running mate in the next couple days and hasn't had her convention yet.
In 2020, Covid put a damper on the conventions.
Pollsters have also worked to correct the undersampling of "shy" Trump supporters. And Trump supporters sure as hell aren't "shy" anymore.
The Vice President is already in a statistical tie with Trump (actually leading in the most recent polling) and is leading in most polls in ALL battleground states with the exception of Georgia.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
(see polling up to August 2)
Trump is barely ahead in North Carolina, which bodes well for Harris holding the "Blue Wall."
Kamala Harris is expected to name her running mate in the next couple days and hasn't had her convention yet.
In 2020, Covid put a damper on the conventions.
Pollsters have also worked to correct the undersampling of "shy" Trump supporters. And Trump supporters sure as hell aren't "shy" anymore.
The Vice President is already in a statistical tie with Trump (actually leading in the most recent polling) and is leading in most polls in ALL battleground states with the exception of Georgia.
https://www.realclearpolling.com/latest-polls
(see polling up to August 2)
Trump is barely ahead in North Carolina, which bodes well for Harris holding the "Blue Wall."
36-40, F
