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Why didn't the Blue Wave happen?

Biden will probably win but only just. He badly underscored his polling, as did the Democrats nationally.

Im not interested in Trumpian conspiracy theories about the polls and I get that Biden did win the popular vote on a high turnout. Even so...

Trump increased both his vote share and amount. The Lincoln Project made huge efforts to try and shift Conservatives to Biden but it didn't really materialise. In spite of all the things Trump has said and done, he increased his votes with minorities. In spite of his awful covid handling, he is still favoured by people who prioritise the economy.

Im interested in what people think.
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He has made it so that his followers no longer care about the truth.

So if you think all truth comes from the lips of an inveterate liar...

Our inability to agree on shared FACTS is a huge problem. By nearly any rational measure, he was the least-prepared, most destructive President we have ever had, and esp. has NOT "made America great again", but, in fact, HURT our power & position in the world.

But try telling that to people who don't understand much of anything, even that voting is by Congressional (H of Rep) districts...which is a prime answer to your query, because gerrymandering by Republicans is one of a set of disenfranchisement strategies which have proven to help them.