Why didn't the Blue Wave happen?

Biden will probably win but only just. He badly underscored his polling, as did the Democrats nationally.

Im not interested in Trumpian conspiracy theories about the polls and I get that Biden did win the popular vote on a high turnout. Even so...

Trump increased both his vote share and amount. The Lincoln Project made huge efforts to try and shift Conservatives to Biden but it didn't really materialise. In spite of all the things Trump has said and done, he increased his votes with minorities. In spite of his awful covid handling, he is still favoured by people who prioritise the economy.

Im interested in what people think.

This page is a permanent link to the reply below and its nested replies. See all post replies »

JoeyFoxx · 51-55, M

The radical right wing voices within the Republican Party and the radical Progressive voices within the Democratic Party are not representative of the broader population. Americans are far more centrist than they realize. It’s easy for them to see themselves in candidates on both sides.

Incumbents have a lot of default momentum, unless they really screw up or are just silly (McSally lost AZ because she’s frivolous and Kelly is a locally known and very smart person)

This comment is hidden. Show Comment

JoeyFoxx · 51-55, M

@LvChris what is the basis for this assessment?

This comment is hidden. Show Comment

JoeyFoxx · 51-55, M

@LvChris from my perspective, there has been an emergence of a false conservatism in the 20th century that has resulted in a bizarre over-correction on the left.

It’s ironic (to me anyway) that we are in this situation with the Presidency. I believe strongly that the Compromise of 1877 is the primary reason we are where we are today. We never fully resolved the Civil War. We collectively looked the other way as black Americans were marginalized. Most people felt badly about it, but didn’t have the gumption to challenge the way things were being done.

So, I guess I agree with you.