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Why didn't the Blue Wave happen?

Biden will probably win but only just. He badly underscored his polling, as did the Democrats nationally.

Im not interested in Trumpian conspiracy theories about the polls and I get that Biden did win the popular vote on a high turnout. Even so...

Trump increased both his vote share and amount. The Lincoln Project made huge efforts to try and shift Conservatives to Biden but it didn't really materialise. In spite of all the things Trump has said and done, he increased his votes with minorities. In spite of his awful covid handling, he is still favoured by people who prioritise the economy.

Im interested in what people think.
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He caused all the trouble and then spent the majority of his time proclaiming that he had either fixed it or was the only person that could fix it...

...the world has also drifted to places where being an asshole generally is unacceptable, so he gave a lot of resentful assholes their voices back...

I'm glad he didn't get a back to back term...but he will be back!