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Strap In For The Next Virus Phase!

Signs are pointing to the coming end of the virus crisis.
They're already talking about when and how to return to normalcy.
The dems of course are in a perpetual stage of rage,
And panicking over yet another Trump victory.
Trump did everything right and while we lost lives,
There are far fewer than dooms day dems originally predicted.

So, now what?
They can't, they won't allow this crisis end without spewing
More anger, making up more lies, predicting more doom.

We know some moves toward normal life are on the horizon.
Maybe they'll just open the doors of isolation and let us all out, all at once.
Maybe, they'll reopen in in stages. You know, let younger, healthier people out first - leaving older folks in quarantine for a while longer.
Maybe they'll let certain work groups out first.
Maybe, they'll decide to keep us all locked up a while longer - just to be safe.

I predict, WHATEVER Trump says - the dems will screech and wail that he is wrong - that he's targeting races, economic groups, favoring big business, blah, blah blah.

So, the question is, what do you think the upcoming return to normalcy will look like? When the invisible enemy is declared 'defeated', what will the dems complain about?

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SW-User
Bit early to talk about normalcy surely with deaths still rising. Are hospital admissions reducing significantly day on day? Are icu bed requirements reducing significantly day on day?

Wuhan was locked down for 11 weeks and the Chinese managed a slower trajectory of infection earlier in the process than most other countries (South Korea the outstanding exception to that and Germany the best Western example of a lower trajectory currently).
Budwick · 70-79, M
@SW-User I know, Nunzio - so many are totally opposed to hoping for the best.
Is it safe to assume that none of your relatives were in the little orchestra that played as the Titanic sunk?
SW-User
@Budwick I look at scientific data, listen to the analysis and form my opinion (not that my opinion matters, I'm not a policy maker or influencer any more and I'm British).

However my opinion is that to relax restrictions before the infection has clearly be contained is folly. More will die as a result.
Budwick · 70-79, M
@SW-User I think you're probably right!
The post is asking -
So, the question is, what do you think the upcoming return to normalcy will look like? When the invisible enemy is declared 'defeated', what will the dems complain about?
jackjjackson · 61-69, M
I’m not sure we should accept anything China discloses as remotely accurate. @SW-User
jackjjackson · 61-69, M
That’s what the experts here say and so far is official government policy. @SW-User
@SW-User

I have done monte carlo simulations of the transmission sequence ... assuming 50% of people offer to infect 2 and 50% offer to infect 5

Plus, there are 17 immune people for every 3 infected ... reaching just to 10% of population, but 40% of the infected person's contacts

This would be where we are on May 1st

The results are no surprise ... there would be sufficient transmission blockers to prevent reemergence of an exponential outbreak.
jackjjackson · 61-69, M
Do Dr Fauci and Dr Birx have this information? For some reason I treat them. I especially am impressed with Dr Birx and admire her lifelong body of work. @questionWeaver
SW-User
@questionWeaver nope and why no one is actually facing facts. Go read the reports at https://www.imperial.ac.uk/mrc-global-infectious-disease-analysis/covid-19/report-9-impact-of-npis-on-covid-19/
Esp table 4 in report 9


Normal will mean for another 18months potentially relaxation then lockdown, relax, lockdown etc.
Budwick · 70-79, M
@SW-User Atta Boy Nunzio!
jackjjackson · 61-69, M
Ouch @SW-User