Trump's approval rating holds at 48 percent - Amazing?

Despite all the negative rhetoric, Trump still holding 48% approval rating!

FYI - That's about the same as Obama's rating at this time of his tenure in office.

I am really impressed with Trump's performance!

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SW-User

Gallup has him at 40% this week.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/203198/presidential-approval-ratings-donald-trump.aspx

Rasmussen has him at 49%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/current_events/politics/prez_track_dec13

These polls both have a +/- 3%-5% error margin, so he’s probably mid-40’s, which is where presidents normally poll. He’s definitely within the margin where re-election is a possibility, so anyone who thinks he couldn’t possibly win a second term might want to rethink that. He’s also in the range where he could lose, so anyone who thinks he’s a slam dunk for re-election might also want to rethink that. It’ll be interesting to see these numbers next week as the shutdown gets closer and the puppet show with Chuck and Nancy along with the Cohen news and response gets baked into this cake. If he’s still mid-40’s at New Years, his people would have to consider that a win.

puck61

@SW-User The one thing all polls have in common is gross inaccuracy. None of the polls reflect anything even relatively close to the actual public opinion. These represent the 'approval' or 'disapproval' of a very small minority of people who would bother to waste their time taking a poll. These people probably don't even think the same as normal people! These people probably have ceramic clown collections and pee jars next to their PC's.

puck61

..............oh, I almost forgot, a weird sexual thing that involves "My Little Pony" toys. That too.

SW-User

I don’t put a ton of stock in them whether they say things I like or dislike. There’s no way 1500 people can represent 327,000,000 people with less than a 5% margin of error. Plus, it’s too easy to skew by restricting whom you include in your sample. At best, you can take multiple polls and assume that the real numbers might fall somewhere in the middle. When polls are averaging in the 40’s, that’s pretty much the norm, which tells me he’s no great outlier one way or the other as far as those ratings go. @puck61

puck61

@SW-User I don't really like Trump as a person, but I think he's the best president to come along in 'my' lifetime. Not only this country, but the whole world is better off because of him, and they hate him for it. He might at least wake up the European WWC , before the fascists get rid of him.

jackjjackson · 61-69, M

Good analysis we will see. @SW-User

QuixoticSoul · 41-45, M

@SW-User [quote] There’s no way 1500 people can represent 327,000,000 people with less than a 5% margin of error.[/quote] No, that's enough.

The big problem, as you pointed out - is in the sampling. But if you don't get that right, increasing the sample size doesn't really help.