Why do people think a hard-Brexit will work?

I've heard arguments to say that the experts are wrong, but why do you think you are right?

Some people did predict a recession straight after the referendum but a lot of people didn't. If you have a difficult and technical problem in your life (divorce, mortgage, repairing something etc) then you absolutely would seek professional and technical advice. You can disagree with that advice but normally you would have a good reason. If a lawyer gets something wrong, you would say they are a shit lawyer but you wouldn't suddenly decide that you knew more than the entire legal profession.

I am really worried about a no-deal Brexit. I don't understand it completely myself but I know that 40% WTO tariffs would kill some industries. The pound is sinking and we all know that it will go further down in the event of a no-deal. You don't need a prediction to bet on what has already started to happening and goods and services will cost a lot more. Also, money is predicted to leave the country and that would undermine the Governments tax base. That is not to mention, the chaos that would inevitably happen in the short term because we only a have a few months to plan.

Sorry to Brexiteers but it is my country too and I hope that I am wrong but I just can't see this not being a disaster. I can't even see an argument that says it won't be a disaster, whether people voted for it or not.

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SW-User Best Comment

I think whatever the arrangement it probably could work with time, and short to medium term hardship. My biggest opposition to Brexit is the apparrent reasons a lot of people want to leave, which strike me as basically xenophobia, and backward looking. The UK has a lot of problems, but I'm not convinced they are caused by EU membership. I also don't have any faith in the politicians who are keenest on a hard Brexit. These are the people who have been advocates of the trickle down economy for at least 4 decades. The net result is more like a trickle up economy, where the gap between rich and poor is increasing. The recent UN report on the levels of poverty in the UK, and the refusal to acknowledge this from politicians, highlight this. I should disclose that a good proportion of my work is involved with EU directives, so maybe I am biased. My company has already planned for a hard Brexit and set up office in another EU country. Their profits will no longer go into UK revenue after Brexit. I'm sure this will be repeated in lots of companies and industries. My final thought on the EU is that there has always been this attitude that they are telling us what to do. The UK is part of this, so EU regulations and directives have a high level input and scrutiny by UK citizens and elected politicians. I am pretty sure that if we introduced our own regulations in my field to replace EU regulations, they would be virtually the same.

Anyway, I don't normally write this much so I'm going back to pointless surreal chit chat now 😁