Harris is ahead in the polls in only 2 Battleground states: Wisconsin and Michigan. With a possible Recession coming.

I'm sure you have some pointers to the upcoming recession? Also Pennsylvania moved from +5 Trump to a tie and Arizona has moved to a tie as well.

The only poll which counts is in early November.

I think most Americans are not aware enough or smart enough to appreciate the risks involved in recessionary conditions. Those facts may not be relevant.