Donald Trump's Chances of Winning Election Hit New High
NewsWeek
Former President Donald Trump's chances of winning the 2024 election have hit a new high, according to one forecast model.
As of Monday, Trump has a 73 out of 100 chance of beating President Joe Biden in a rematch this November, The Economist's forecast model shows. It is one of the highest chances of Trump winning since forecasters began predicting the outcome of the election in March.
Trump's chance of winning had hovered between the high 50's and low 60's between March and June but began a steady uptick last month. His chances crawled up to 72 out of 100 on June 16 and, by the end of the month, Trump had a 74 out of 100 chance of winning the election. That figure dropped by one point on July 1.
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