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Tickets for the Titanic still on sale?

French General Michel Yakovleff just compared joining Trump's Iran war to "buying cheap tickets for the Titanic" after it already hit the iceberg.

Yakovleff is no random talking head. He's a three-star general, former commander of the legendary French Foreign Legion, and held senior positions within NATO itself. He is one of the most respected military voices in France and regularly weighs in on matters of international security.

So when he was asked about Trump's desperate pleas for Europe to join his Iran catastrophe, his answer carried serious weight. He didn't mince words. He laid out five distinct reasons why every European nation should flatly refuse.

First, Trump doesn't understand how NATO actually works. You don't get to launch your own unilateral bombing campaign and then invite allies to run a separate operation underneath you. That's not how alliances function.
If Trump wants NATO involved, NATO takes command. One operation, one flag, one chain of command. "I don't think he understood that," Yakovleff said. That alone is a devastating indictment of a man who claims to be the greatest dealmaker on earth.

Second, nobody knows what the actual strategic goals are. Beyond forcing open the Strait of Hormuz, what is the endgame? Regime change? Containment? A negotiated settlement? Trump hasn't said. He apparently can't say, because he doesn't know himself.

Third, and this one is particularly brutal, you can't coordinate a multinational military campaign through tweets that change every two minutes. If allied nations are going to put their soldiers in harm's way, they need explicit, written objectives from the United States. As Yakovleff put it, "It's going to be necessary for Trump himself to know what he wants." The quiet contempt in that sentence could strip paint off a wall.

Fourth, there is the fundamental issue of trust. Trump has abandoned allies before and everyone knows he would do it again without hesitation the moment it became politically useful. The Kurds know it. The Afghans know it. Europe knows it. "He would let us down whenever it suited him," the general said. Why would any nation put troops on the line for a leader with that track record?

And fifth, the knockout punch. Yakovleff cited a principle he said he learned at the U.S. Army War College: "You don't reinforce failure. You move on. You find something else."
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Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
Everyone knows what the goal is, eliminate IRGC and Islamic control of the region. If as a military man he still doesn't know that then he obviously wasn't a very good one and got his position by failing upward
val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) is the most major Iranian military and security force, with personnel estimates ranging from 125,000 to over 190,000 active troops. It operates even as a parallel military to Iran’s regular army, controlling its own ground, navy, and aerospace branches, in addition to commanding the Basij paramilitary militia, which can mobilize thousands of volunteers... that's about a quarter of a million personel. Now, by taking the IDF figures that means about half a million to three quarters of a million Iranians need to die. You think that the US even has the arsenal for that?
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@val70 Did I say you need to kill everyone? or is that only what you think would make them give up control?
val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand You really think that they'll just give when you actually have "eliminated" the first ten thousands of them?
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@val70 For sake of brevity, yes
val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand You haven't had the briefing about the Gaza debacle then
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@val70 is Gaza Iran?
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val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand Has Gaza got mountains? Now think... you're bombing away and the country is enormous, the density inside every population center pretty large, and there's a lot of desert or mountains anywhere else... and you have a limited supply of the perfect bomb for the perfect target if possible
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@ArishMell Having a predominant religion can still happen without it controlling the state as they currently do.

Don't presume to know me.
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@val70 kind of difficult to rule when you're hiding and all those supposed to be beneath you are left on the outside. There's no incentive to follow and not just take the throne for yourself
val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand And there's the Gaza exemple yet again to show reality... or even the happenings in Vietnam
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@val70 these aren't analogues
val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand Yes, that's a band. Whatever. You really think that it's going to end soon. Just bomb and all will be just great. We'll see alright
Jackaloftheazuresand · 31-35, M
@val70 Yes we'll see. 'bout time we settled down rather than all these nonsense predictions everyone wants to keep making that amount to nothing more than wishful thinking isn't it. I'm perfectly content to wait but everyone else must be too
val70 · 56-60
@Jackaloftheazuresand Me too... I've been on EP and SW for decades now... I'll see you around... try to get across the street there in one piece