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Mathematically, for Leia, Luke, Han, and Chewie to escape a giant station with a crew+army of 1 Million and inferior weapons, solve for probability?

What is the probability that they would make it out alive. Then this must mean the whole movie was some kind of divine mirage. Still how to put this on paper as an equation?
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NorthernBear · 51-55, M
Leia theorized (which was confirmed by Vader) that the storm-troopers [i]let[/i] them escape. A tracking device had been hidden on the Falcon and Vader intended to us it to follow them to the rebel base. Of course, this was in the context of a movie where a ship as small of the Falcon somehow has gravity inside it and can travel the length of the galaxy in a matter of hours at the speed of light (it would really take 100,000 years at that speed).