Coronavirus. Please check my maths

I’ve seen estimates from experts ranging from 20 to 90 % of the population will get Coronavirus. So let’s take the middle ground and go 50% . So say 3.5 billion people will get the virus. We know that 1.5 % of the people who get the virus die.1.5% of 3 .5 billion is approx. 45 million. That is 45 million people will eventually die of this virus. Does this even make sense ??!!

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SooperSarah

[quote]We know that 1.5 % of the people who get the virus die. [/quote]
This is incorrect. Science knows that not all cases are diagnosed and accounted for. They compare it to an iceberg. The tip you see is people that are confirmed cases. What's unknown is the much larger portion that gets a mild case and never gets tested.

SW-User

Let’s hope so...@SooperSarah

DrScissorhands

@SooperSarah Or the seemingly healthy younger generation who are asymptomatic and therefore undetectable vectors of the virus

SooperSarah

@DrScissorhands exactly. To be honest, that 1.5% number is useless because of all the variables surrounding it. And of course everyone "reports" that 1.5% number but never mention the problems involved with coming up with such a number.

DrScissorhands

@SooperSarah I think this could be a factor in why Italy has a very high count of confirmed cases. In addition to having a vast majority of the population being elderly and susceptible to the infection, they have a very effective reporting system.

SooperSarah

@DrScissorhands meanwhile, in other countries:

DrScissorhands

So very true 👌🏻@SooperSarah

SW-User

I’ve only gone for 50% of the population catching it. I’ve heard as high as 90 % . If 90% catch it then the death rate percentage could be much lower to get the same figures. @SooperSarah