start telling people that most people who test positive for this virus never even get sick, and of the ones who do, most recover fully! All they tell is the negative and that's why we have this mass panic!
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[quote]start telling people that most people who test positive for this virus never even get sick,[/quote]
It is true that most people recover, but all studies show that asymptomatic infection is extremely rare. Lower than 1.2 percent which is an estimation drawn in china and later on confirmed to include pre-symptomatic phase of patients.
@Miram The CDC is saying the infection is entirely spreading during the 5.2 day pre-symtomatic phase ... 1000x more likely before symptoms, than after ... making testing worthless to reducing spread
@questionWeaver Not entirely, partly. Most transmission happens in the presence of symptoms according to what we know so far.
[quote]Can someone spread the virus without being sick? People are thought to be most contagious when they are most symptomatic (the sickest). Some spread might be possible before people show symptoms; there have been reports of this occurring with this new coronavirus, but this is not thought to be the main way the virus spreads. [/quote] CDC quote. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/prepare/transmission.html
The test, if other appropriate measures are imposed to trace potential infected individuals, has been valuable. Where I am working currently and in the pre-symptomatic phase we identified twenty patients thanks to testing the primary symptomatic patient and all of those who had contact with here. Placing them in quarantine helps limit the number of infection, or at least slow it down.
And just to be clear virus shedding and transmission are two different things. The coronvirus can shed through the digestive system and not be transmitted as often because there isn't enough person to person contact with feces and urine.
@Miram we are not here to argue ... I am not here to convince anybody ... yes, I am educated enough to know the difference between shedding and transmission ... yes, I did research the papers and associated math ... no, the math simply does not work if the the prime transmission is after symptoms appear ... it just doesn't ... we would have to reinvent math.
No, I do not keep the links to all the papers I read ... there is no reason to
I did find MANY papers and associated studies, all recent, that noted the prime transmission point is prior to symptoms ... the lady during the presidential press conference noted exactly this yesterday.
It is not an "interest". It is now a part of my profession.
Please, next time, when you have any claims related to the pandemic, at least provide me with valid sources. This is not something to be based on he vs she said.
You are addressing me. And I choose to set whatever boundaries I see fit so you don't waste my very valuable time and resources, especially when it comes to a serious issue. So please again, refrain from giving me false information. This is not your field of expertise.
If you want me to ignore you why do you keep tagging me under my own reply?
I am already aware of your background unless you were lying. The admins haven't requested revealing your credentials but you have previously provided a list of that in public, let me quote you
[quote]questionWeaver · 56-60, M @Ultraviolence masters in business, focus in banking, oil and gas strategy, finance, real estate and negotiations ... school is recognized as 3rd in world
At undergraduate, I was awarded an award for engineering and Top Finance student
Have taught engineering, accounting, computer science, negotiation science and project management. [/quote]