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In your opinion...

Which of these has a higher probability:

1. Jan is an accountant who frequents Similar Worlds.

2. Jan frequents Similar Worlds.

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Vaper
31-35, M
6 replies 57 views Jul 1, 2022
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Mindful 路 56-60, F
Who is Jan? Or did you mean Jane Doe?

#1) Jan will get fired soon
#)2 Jan was fired already and is supposed to be job searching
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TryingtoLava
3
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Vaper 路 31-35, M
@TryingtoLava Unfortunately blank is incorrect.
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DarkSideoftheMoon 路 31-35, F
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Vaper 路 31-35, M
@swirlie You are correct. I was reading about what is called The Conjunction Fallacy. We often believe that two events happening together are more probable than a single one.
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Vaper 路 31-35, M
@swirlie Haha...very true. Great analogy.
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