In your opinion...

Which of these has a higher probability:

1. Jan is an accountant who frequents Similar Worlds.

2. Jan frequents Similar Worlds.

🤔

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Mindful · 56-60, F

Who is Jan? Or did you mean Jane Doe?

#1) Jan will get fired soon
#)2 Jan was fired already and is supposed to be job searching

TryingtoLava

Vaper · 36-40, M

@TryingtoLava Unfortunately blank is incorrect.

DarkSideoftheMoon · 31-35, F

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Vaper · 36-40, M

@swirlie You are correct. I was reading about what is called The Conjunction Fallacy. We often believe that two events happening together are more probable than a single one.

This message was deleted by its author.

Vaper · 36-40, M

@swirlie Haha...very true. Great analogy.

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