Which of these events is more likely to occur before 2026?

@JimboSaturn Still a possibility I'd say as Trump might be using this to get a better deal deal for the US.

@Nimbus There is no deal to be had, it's cooperation amongst liberal democracies to keep each other safe. He will leave NATO out of malice as that is his motivation for most things. United States is dropping out of the world scene and becoming isolotionist. No one trusts the US anymore, they are not reliable partners.

@JimboSaturn It's basically already happened in practice, just not formally. The world is just slow to react to it