The Fragile State Index - which countries are most likely to not exist
The Fragile State Index or FSI (formerly the Failed State Index) is a ranking of countries by the American think tank Fund for Peace. The highest possible score (indicating the most fragile) is 120, based on a score from 0 to 10 in 12 factors in 5 categories. These factors are:
Cohesion
Security apparatus
Factionalized elites
Group grievance
Economic
Economic decline and poverty
Uneven development
Human flight and brain drain
Political
State legitimacy
Public services
Human rights and rule of law
Social
Demographic pressures
Refugees and internally displaced persons
Cross-cutting
External intervention
In this table, the median based on score would be 60, but the table lists 179 countries, so the median based on rank would be number 90, which is Ecuador with a score of 68.0. The most fragile 10 percent, in descending order, are:
Somalia - 111.3 (least stable in Africa and least stable worldwide)
Sudan - 109.3
South Sudan - 109.0
Syria - 108.1 (least stable in Middle East)
Congo-Kinshasa - 106.7
Yemen - 106.6
Afghanistan - 103.9 (least stable in Asia outside Middle East)
Central African Republic - 103.9
Haiti - 103.5 (least stable in western hemisphere)
Chad - 102.7
Myanmar - 100.0 (least stable in east Asia)
Ethiopia - 98.1
Palestine - 97.8
Mali - 97.3
Nigeria - 96.6
Libya - 96.5
Guinea - 96.4
Other countries of interest:
Ukraine, #22 at 93.1 (least stable in Europe)
Venezuela, #30 at 89.0 (least stable in South America)
North Korea, #40 at 84.9
Iran, #43 at 82.9
Russia, #48 at 81.6
India, #75 at 72.3
Mexico, #83 at 69.0
Now we get to countries in the bottom half, the 50% most stable:
China, #99 at 64.4
Saudi Arabia, #103 at 63.2
Cuba, #112 at 59.1
Botswana, #124 (most stable in Africa)
Israel, #129 at 51.5
United States, #141 at 44.5
Qatar, #149 at 39.8 (most stable in Middle East)
Uruguay, #159 at 33.7, (most stable in South America)
Singapore, #165 at 25.4 (most stable in Asia)
Canada, #172 at 18.6
Norway, #179 at 12.7 (most stable in Europe and worldwide)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Fragile_States_Index
Cohesion
Security apparatus
Factionalized elites
Group grievance
Economic
Economic decline and poverty
Uneven development
Human flight and brain drain
Political
State legitimacy
Public services
Human rights and rule of law
Social
Demographic pressures
Refugees and internally displaced persons
Cross-cutting
External intervention
In this table, the median based on score would be 60, but the table lists 179 countries, so the median based on rank would be number 90, which is Ecuador with a score of 68.0. The most fragile 10 percent, in descending order, are:
Somalia - 111.3 (least stable in Africa and least stable worldwide)
Sudan - 109.3
South Sudan - 109.0
Syria - 108.1 (least stable in Middle East)
Congo-Kinshasa - 106.7
Yemen - 106.6
Afghanistan - 103.9 (least stable in Asia outside Middle East)
Central African Republic - 103.9
Haiti - 103.5 (least stable in western hemisphere)
Chad - 102.7
Myanmar - 100.0 (least stable in east Asia)
Ethiopia - 98.1
Palestine - 97.8
Mali - 97.3
Nigeria - 96.6
Libya - 96.5
Guinea - 96.4
Other countries of interest:
Ukraine, #22 at 93.1 (least stable in Europe)
Venezuela, #30 at 89.0 (least stable in South America)
North Korea, #40 at 84.9
Iran, #43 at 82.9
Russia, #48 at 81.6
India, #75 at 72.3
Mexico, #83 at 69.0
Now we get to countries in the bottom half, the 50% most stable:
China, #99 at 64.4
Saudi Arabia, #103 at 63.2
Cuba, #112 at 59.1
Botswana, #124 (most stable in Africa)
Israel, #129 at 51.5
United States, #141 at 44.5
Qatar, #149 at 39.8 (most stable in Middle East)
Uruguay, #159 at 33.7, (most stable in South America)
Singapore, #165 at 25.4 (most stable in Asia)
Canada, #172 at 18.6
Norway, #179 at 12.7 (most stable in Europe and worldwide)
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_by_Fragile_States_Index
