What's your guess for the true mortality rate of COVID-19 in the developed world? Nobody knows,...

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What's your guess for the true mortality rate of COVID-19 in the developed world?

Poll - Total Votes: 13 See Poll Options

Nobody knows, so we might as well guess. 🤷‍♂️ Edit: To be clear, that means all developed countries, in aggregate.

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DarkHeaven ·

Mortality rates vary by country and how well their health system runs. It’s 10-11% in Italy... but many of those might have been saved in another country.

BlueVeins · 22-25

@DarkHeaven Yeah, I realized the flaw there right after posting this. I've edited to reflect that.

DarkHeaven ·

@BlueVeins The data I’ve seen looks to be roughly 1.5% for a highly developed health system like the US but that might fall closer to 1% even, if all positives were tested. It’s roughly 10 times more lethal to those infected than the seasonal flu but it seems to be much more contagious.

SW-User

Looks like around 1 percent if you consider the number of untested people who likely have been infected.
Remember, 80 percent of the people who are infected don't show symptoms

meJess · F

Which countries are developed? Most behave like they are still going through puberty

BlueVeins · 22-25

@meJess I'd say an HDI of .847 or above is developed, but there's no hard-and-fast rule.

DarkHeaven ·

@BlueVeins That’s fair generally.

Mysti · 51-55, F

Wait for it

Chevy454 · 46-50, M

Definitely less than 1%

SoulKey

So much more for "developed country" after year 2020.

Johnblackthorn · 56-60, M

There are according to JHU 777,286 confirmed cases and 37,140 deaths.
Very close to 5%
Or fifteen million in the USA
or three million in the UK
So either we are going to change, or our governments are going to be digging some very big holes.

BizSuitStacy · M

Early on, the South Koreans were testing more of their populace and the published mortality rate of those infected was about 0.6%. We know that roughly 80% of the people infected show minor symptoms or are asymptomatic. So it's likely that many people who are infected never get tested. Overall, I think the mortality rate is at or less than 0.5%, but we'll never know for sure.

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