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In regards to the coronavirus, how do you predict the next 12 months will turn out?

If the data I've seen is accurate, the infection rate in China is approaching zero. Meaning the rate of newly infected is the same as the rate of people recovering.

If true, this is good news. I'm not sure why this is happening. Maybe containment efforts are effective and or the virus is running its course. All speculation for now.

South Korea is ahead of the curve with testing. They are finding the mortality rate at 0.6%. Other countries reporting higher mortality rates simply aren't testing as many people. Under sampling skews the results making the virus appear deadlier than it actually is. Consider too, many who test positive are asymptomatic or only show minor symptoms. And why would you want to be tested if you didn't feel sick. Logically, the real mortality rate is likely lower than even what the South Koreans are reporting.

Everyone is doing their part to help contain the spread. Events with large crowds are being cancelled. People are working from home. Schools are cancelling classes. People very hygiene aware, and stepping up efforts to wash/sanitize hand and practice social distancing.

And as much criticism the president receives on this, his early steps to curb to travel between the US and China has likely did more to prevent the advancement of the disease.

Next 12 months...I think the outcome will be much better than initially predicted. This is not going to be an apocalyptic event that kills 10s of millions as some projected.
@Masque Hard to say as the area of the US is very large. I happen to live in a suburb of Seattle about 10 miles from ground zero.
If the US doesn't do a good job on containment, the spread could easily overwhelm the nation's medical infrastructure. We don't have enough test kits, though the supply is better than what it was.
They are building makeshift quarrantine hospitals - essentially tents with medical and security staff 24/7. One is being set up about 2 miles from where I live. It's going to get worse before it gets better. The next 4-6 weeks should tell us a lot.
Masque · 31-35, M
@BizSuitStacy I had to carry a client to the hospital a couple of days ago, and they had a "screening" area set up at the entrance. It consisted of two questions and a squirt of hand sanitizer. That's concerning. The second question was, "Have you been in contact with anyone who may have the coronavirus?" That's a very difficult question to answer. If you respond with "no," make yourself at home!
@Masque unless you have absolutely zero human contact, it's impossible to know that you haven't. Essentially trying to prove a negative.
PhilDeep · 51-55, M
I think it'll be about three months before we're done with the worst of it (in the UK), so by June when it gets hotter as well, hopefully things can start getting back to normal a little... I'm actually very concerned, about numbers and how the bodies will have to be dealt with... I mean the number of burials or cremations required in such a short period of time. There are also concerns that when it starts to get cold again there may be another wave of it :(
SW-User
2020 is going to be a write off, everything will be cancelled
Chaos for two months and then back to normal by mid summer
It's going to be messy, inconvenient and uncomfortable. That's how crises work. Some people we probably know will die, maybe we will.

All in all - in five years most will be saying, "That was tough."

In 20 years people will be googling "the pandemic of 2020" like we do with the "flu epidemic of 1918." Or the Great Depression" or "the Black Death."
4meAndyou · F
I think it will get better. I think people should, perhaps, remember that they are on video in every store. I think resellers and hoarders will be hated... and not just during the next 12 months...but in some cases, always, and they had better change their names and move.

I have every confidence in the antivirals that will eventually be distributed, and I also think a lot of elderly people with health conditions will die. Maybe not as bad as Northern Italy...but it will be bad.
Elessar · 26-30, M
Next 12 months? I'll call it a win if I won't be dead by the end of April.
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Smokey · 46-50, M
It'll end on new years eve, like all other years
SW-User
Utter shitshow
SW-User
Good damn question because in all seriousness, if the tests can’t get out and distributed fast enough to meet demand, this is only a small sign of what the distribution will be to the entire globe of the anti viral
Tastyfrzz · 61-69, M
It's going to wreak havock with everything to the point where we'll just say screw it and go back to life as normal as possible. I'll give it a week.
I predict riots ......
DaveyTaco · 31-35, M
This message was deleted by its author.
4meAndyou · F
@SW-User Greedy a-holes are re-selling it. I would hop into my own shower and spray it down with bleach every single time before I would contribute one dime to these blood suckers.
Masque · 31-35, M
@SW-User I heard that people are using toilet paper to make masks. I don't know, though.
4meAndyou · F
@Masque Maybe, because I heard that, too.

 
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