Only logged in members can reply and interact with the post.
Join SimilarWorlds for FREE »

Trump's Tariff on China - what's the truth?

Poll - Total Votes: 22
Agree with Trump on the Tariff
Disagree with Trump on the Tariff
Show Results
You can only vote on one answer.
I am confused about Trump's tariff on Chinese goods. Trump declares that the tariffs are absorbed by the Chinese and that it has no effect on the American consumer. American retail companies say that this is not the case. Prominent economists from major banks and universities also say that this is not the case.

Retailers and economists agree that prices on the Chinese goods sold here in America will increase and this means more cost to the American consumer.

Trump says that both the retail industry and economists do not know what they are talking about. He has more expertise than these groups because he is a billionaire businessman and he knows how to make a deal ... and that millions of his MAGA followers agree with him.

I don't think that because his millions of followers support him that this negates what the American retailers and economists are claiming. Nor does it follow that just because one can make deals means that one is an expert with such complex subjects such as trade economics, market supply and international currency exchange.

Has our country finally reached the point that we believe a demagogue over facts coming from the evidence provided by experts?

If this is so, I'm genuinely concerned. This is beginning to take on more and more the aura of 1938 Germany.
ImKelsey · 26-30, F
I just hope that there's less Chinese goods at Walmart. Especially clothing and footwear. Cheap garbage!
samanthasmokes · 36-40, F
@SW-User

If you recall American economic history, it was President Clinton who claimed without a doubt that NAFTA would not result in the loss of American manufacturing. He said he was the "protector" of the American working man. He also claimed that banks would have greater flexibility if they could trade securities and they could do this without having regulations on having real cash in their vaults to back up their market speculations
and protect saving deposits.

What did we learn from this?

Cities that once were the centers of American manufacturing became ghost towns as they owners picked up and set up shop in Asia. The banks went bust in 2008. Printing fiat or 'fake' money grew into a monster and resulted in a gargantuan national debt ... which we could never hope to pay off in a hundred years.

Trump is not the only lying, narcissistic, demagogue to come around. He has had plenty of other role models before him.
wildbill83 · 36-40, M
@samanthasmokes The problem with NAFTA and foreign trade deals is that the original deals were contingent upon foreign manufacturers maintaining the same level of quality & ISO certifications of their US made counterparts; they didn't, and continue to ignore them to this day. They flood the market with garbage instead, completely ignore copyright laws, etc.
Brianthesnail · 56-60, M
@SW-User yep, in Eastern Europe we have American companies by the balls. Thank you trump for being SO stupid
justanothername · 51-55, M
Trumps tariffs on China affect ALL US electronic goods manufactured there, so iPhones, iPads, PCs, TVs stereos etc etc will ALL cost more to the consumer in the US and elsewhere in the world. Trump is holding off with his 10% tariff for electronic goods so that Christmas shopping is not affected.

So Yes, there is s huge affect to the US consumer.
This comment is hidden. Show Comment
4meAndyou · F
IF Trump can achieve a trade agreement with China, the tariff situation will go away, or balance itself out. That might take a few years.

Right now, the tariffs are tit for tat...punitive on both sides. The Chinese have backed away from a trade agreement because at first, they didn't realize that they would be liable for lawsuits if they continue to steal our ideas through corporate or collegiate espionage. Now that they have figured that out, the people in China who are doing all the stealing don't think it's a good deal, and some of them are part of the Chinese government, like Huawei.

What will happen, in the short term, is that Americans will find other sources from which to buy their goods if the Chinese make it too expensive. Mexico, South America, and India all have manufacturing economies, as well as a few places in the middle east. We will find our bargains where we may. Retailers are not idiots. If they want to buy a Chinese widget and it cost 2 cents yesterday and today the Chinese want 25 cents, they will buy an Indian widget for 3 cents.

Our farmers will be supported by our government in the short term, while we search for other markets, and eventually, if the Chinese want to maintain a healthy economy, they will compromise and the tariffs will be levelled out on both sides. I have heard that China is already suffering.

I think the most important thing to remember, here, is that the United States buys a massive amount of stuff from China. It's huge. If we stop buying all their stuff, they are going to be badly hurt in the pocketbook. A trade agreement might look better and better. The Chinese, however, do NOT want to lose FACE or look weak.

I believe that the previous situation, where the Chinese tariffed US goods to death and only paid tiny tariffs or zero tariffs to import to us, was a very bad situation...VERY bad, and very unfair to us. But nobody wanted to do anything about it. Our businesses were starting to die, our economy was starting to look sick, and China was thriving and getting rich.

You sound very fearful, but I believe that things will eventually balance themselves out, and China and the US economies will both be healthier for it.
SW-User
@4meAndyou "
"I believe that the previous situation, where the Chinese tariffed US goods to death and only paid tiny tariffs or zero tariffs to import to us, was a very bad situation...VERY bad, and very unfair to us" You are missing something a very crucial thing here, If we replace the Chinese with India or Mexico like you said, then the situation will be the exact same but with another country. Nothing changes but the country. If you want to fix the situation, then you're going about it the wrong way. Regardless, the Chinese will not need the U.S. market forever, they're building their own internal market to avoid relying on the West. Soon they will be completely independent.
4meAndyou · F
@SW-User There is a difference, unless I am missing something. The Chinese have a special tariff situation that was negotiated because of their impoverished and "developing nation" status. They are no longer impoverished, and they are well developed, and they are ready to assume "adult" status where trade is concerned.

Your last statement reflects a lack of understanding of what has made China strong. BILLIONS of dollars in trade from exports. EVERYthing in the USA says Made in China. That's a LOT of money that will just disappear from their economy if what you said were true.

Their factories will collapse under the massive loss.
SW-User
@4meAndyou You are correct, China was made strong through manufacturing and exporting. But the Chinese ten-year plan, the plan they are currently on, is a plan to end dependency on the West in all major sectors. They are attempting to create a mixed economy with the technology and expertise they gained from manufacturing everything for the West. Tariffs though a temporary set back, will not affect them in the long run.

As for the first part of your post, I don't actually know anything about that. I will have to investigate that further.
SW-User
The Chinese government enjoys the full support of its people in its trade war against the United States. The Chinese have endured far worse than this, and because the Chinese government doesn't have any elections coming up, they're going to see their side through. The United States is at an inherent disadvantage because politicians are always seeking to get reelected (Not advocating for authoritarianism). The U.S. seeks a short term victory, while China is in it for the long haul. But with the looming recession, we all stand to lose.
As you say, those retailers and economists simply make claims. Definitive reckoning is necessary - data analysis.
@samueltyler2 Always given when well-deserved!
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@EugenieLaBorgia thanks, you are sweet. 🥰
@samueltyler2 You're most welcome!
BigAssLeech · 31-35, M
"Has our country finally reached the point that we believe a demagogue over facts coming from the evidence provided by experts?"

We've been there since humans first began to form biased opinions. People don't want to be wrong, and they'll constantly ignore or reject experts, real statistics, and facts that negate what/who they want to believe. It's annoying and destructive, but there isn't much we can do about willful ignorance.
samanthasmokes · 36-40, F
I want to thank everyone for both voting and making comments. It shows that you are aware of the intricacies of the global economy and the possible fallout from an economic war between the U.S. and China. More American citizens should be as concerned and searching for insight in this most important and complex issue.

*Hugs to you all* I'm proud of you guys!
lancashirelady50 · 70-79, F
I am afraid the vast majority of English people see your elected president as a buffoon. However, a similar guy has just become our Prime minister. At least I hope ours listens to the experts a bit more. There is more to leadership than appealing to the common man.
This comment is hidden. Show Comment
xixgun · M
[quote]Has our country finally reached the point that we believe a demagogue over facts coming from the evidence provided by experts?[/quote]

Funny, people asked that with the last President, too.
samanthasmokes · 36-40, F
@xixgun I totally agree. Demagoguery is not limited to any one party. Obama delivered some incredible whoppers in his terms of office and he got away with it by his ability to schmooze. It was disgusting.
xixgun · M
@samanthasmokes True, and my only problem with that was that the media was complicit in his bald faced lying and they seem to be working equally hard to smear the current President at any opportunity.
samanthasmokes · 36-40, F
@xixgun Politics is a damn dirty business ... forget truth ... that baby was thrown out with the bath water ages ago.
Tracos · 51-55, M
I think the tradewar that the US started on China is really really bad for all economies in the world... And perhaps even the worst for the US itself....

The rest of the world will be more then happy to trade with China further developing the Chinese economy with the US isolating it's economy.

This combined with the deeply arrogant diplomacy towards longtime economic partners in Europe will further drive the economic center eastwards...

I believe the course the US is taking at this moment may look good to some frustrated people within the us, but long term it's likely to be devastating... But those effects will mostly be visible in 5 to 10 years or so.

Economies are like supertankers they move slow, they turn even slower, but they respond to very small nudges in a big way... Albeit with a lot of delay.

And now you got an inexperienced pilot making big erratic motions on a very sensitive steering wheel on a massive boat that responds in a couple of years or so
Tracos · 51-55, M
@nedkelly I do indeed
nedkelly · 61-69, M
@Tracos Free Trade or Fair Trade, how can you compete when the Chinese are paid next to nothing
Tracos · 51-55, M
@nedkelly they get paid nothing because consumers are willing to pay nothing....

..if consumers are willing to pay premium for local products you get a thriving local economy

If companies maximise profits by buying cheap and selling expensive that is hypercapitalism generating shareholder value ....

But in the end in a free market the consumers decide
nedkelly · 61-69, M
How come you did not mention China's tariffs - amazing never mentioned, also China has deliberately devalued the Chinese yuan
samanthasmokes · 36-40, F
@nedkelly ... because while it is part of the story it is a different subject, nedkelly. Can you focus on the question posed for a brief moment ... the bottom line effect to the American consumer?
Brianthesnail · 56-60, M
It has a big effect on American businesses, who are going bankrupt or shifting their production to Vietnam or Eastern Europe with all the associated risks and costs.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@Brianthesnail now you sound like the likes of traitor trump and the other nationalists. Let us pull in as much as possible and damn the world. Isnt that also the attitude of the climate deniers?
Brianthesnail · 56-60, M
@samueltyler2 no, I firmly believe that nationalism and patriotism are the root of all evil. That is why I love it when populist leaders fail.
And if others can benefit from those failures - albeit temporarily - it is so much more enjoyable .
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
@Brianthesnail sorry then, I misinterpreted what you wrote.
Anopenheart · 51-55, M
He is lying. This week he caved on his threat to impose tariffs because he didn't want to hurt Christmas shoppers. So he creates a problem. Denies it is paid by Americans. Then " fixes " the problem by admitting Americans are paying for it
The best part is you’re asking Qs. And not just being negative Nancy right off the bat..
there’s still hope in this word..

MAGA2020 😎👌
deadgerbil · 22-25
My understanding is that tariffs are a tax put on goods so that their price goes up- and it's paid by the American consumer, not by China.

And I'm led to believe that Trump is trying to have it both ways, saying that it's not going to affect the American consumer while delaying future tariffs so that we aren't affected during Christmas shopping.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/2019/08/13/trump-delays-tariffs-duties-chinese-goods-postponed-until-december/1997200001/
Hoosierxdaddy62 · 61-69, M
The tarrifs are being paid by the consumer and significantly are negatively impacting farmers.

What is lost in the noise is that trade deficits really aren't a terrible thing. It means there is trade occurring which is better than no trading. Most GOP party believers would have been apoplectic heretofore with the interuption of free trade but are cowards in the face of Trumpism.
samueltyler2 · 80-89, M
You are absolutely correct. We haven't gotten to 1938, get, and, I am not saying that he will kill 6 million people, but he is trying to lead the country the same way as his hero(s) have band do. If you havebthebtime and interest, spoiler it is over 800 pages, read Volker Ullrich's Hitler, The Rise. The parallels are astounding.

What are you studying in university?
to hell with china - stop importing from them and they will be crippled - maybe we can start making things here again - wow., what a thought
SW-User
@MarmeeMarch Even if we grant that as true, it could take a long time in optimal conditions and in the mean time and / or with sub-optimal variables the economy may well suffer to a point where that's just not so viable in reality.
Love Chinese imports or hate them..
I doubt they will go away anytime soon.
@SW-User I know not all at once - of course. -- But we could limit and eventually ween ourselves from them
SW-User
@MarmeeMarch Yes. It's a possibility in the long term.
It may well increase domestic manufacturing so long as the end costs aren't too high either in consumer's minds, or pockets.. Or those of corporations.
Otherwise there are other nations which will simply replace China as sources of cheap goods and either subdue or completely stifle the potential increase in domestic manufacturing.
Sure, its possible, absolutely yes, but the journey must be taken with care and forethought.
In essence, I agree with you, but I have doubts about the will and prudence of the powers who would plan, implement and oversee such a plan.. They may end up killing a good idea with even the slightest of political shenanigans and chicanery.
Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
Trump needs an enemy.
He's been searching for one since before he took office !
The simplest way to stop China's influence is simply to ban all Chinese imports.

So why hasn't he ?
Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
@samanthasmokes How ?

https://www.visualcapitalist.com/china-vs-united-states-a-tale-of-two-economies/
samanthasmokes · 36-40, F
@Picklebobble2 Pickle, I am no expert. I am just concerned about what I'm reading. Check these articles out:

https://www.axios.com/us-and-chinese-economies-will-be-hard-to-decouple-370f5d3e-c6e3-4cce-b8ba-141c1af9f92a.html

https://www.investopedia.com/articles/investing/072915/impact-chinese-economy-us-economy.asp

There are sites based on economic theory and history. One of favorite economist's to read is Kimberly Amadeo.
Picklebobble2 · 56-60, M
@samanthasmokes Trump is concerned because he knows that someone in China can buy an i-phone. Have an engineer take it apart and examine what it's made of and then have their own people recreate exactly the same thing in China for a third of the price !
But then, he knows full well that Apple and other U.S. companies get the parts for their phones/computers etc FROM CHINA !
So it makes no sense other than to try and protect companies like Apple and Microsoft from patent fraud.
But if he wanted to do that, all he has to do is ban Huawei products from coming into the country !
MissTaken · 36-40, F
Trumps tariffs are being paid for by the American consumer - The reason he’s delayed the latest round of increases was because Americans would see price increase on things like clothing,mobile phones etc etc and realise he’s been telling porkies
Budwick · 70-79, M
Tariffs in this case are supposed to be temporary, bargaining chips. No one LIKES tariffs, but Trump thought better of tariffs than taking up the ass with unfair trade practices.
SW-User
@Budwick "Unfair trade practices." Weren't the Western countries the biggest advocates of, "free trade,"? Guess it was all a made-up theory to screw others into submission because you sure seem to hate free trade now that there are other countries in the mix.
It took on the aura of 1933 Germany when Trump began siccing the racist U.S. public on selected groups based on religion and nationality. This is just more of the same.
JohnOinger · 41-45, M
@samanthasmokes will you be my SW Groupie
496sbc · 36-40, M
1938 german ss has been here along time
melbeacher · 56-60, M
Trump is an idiot !
Trump’s not willing to release his tax returns which would prove one way or the other the state of his finances, so his claims of expertise are thin. We [b]do[/b] know about the various bankruptcies and business failures in his past, because they’re a matter of record. I’d believe the economists over Trump [b]any[/b] day of the week. Even if he discovered he was mistaken, he’d never admit to it.

 
Post Comment